Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
KAA
2 - 2
ALB
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
VEG
2 - 3
ALB
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MON
0 - 3
ALB
34%
29%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 1
CER
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
NAG
0 - 2
ALB
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 1
JUB
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SHO
1 - 3
FCT
26%
27%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
FCT
2 - 2
VIS
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
CER
1 - 2
FCT
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 0
KYO
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |