Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
KAA
0 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ALB
2 - 0
YOK
65%
20%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 1
URA
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
JEF
0 - 0
ALB
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 0
YFM
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 3
FCT
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
FCT
2 - 1
VEG
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
FCT
3 - 2
KAA
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
OIT
1 - 0
FCT
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FCT
1 - 5
SHI
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |