Albirex Niigata S vs Hougang United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
3º
1º
29
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata S
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ALB
4 - 0
LCS
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 0
CYL
84%
11%
4%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 2
BAL
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
HOU
4 - 2
ALB
16%
17%
67%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 3
HOU
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Hougang United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GEY
2 - 1
HOU
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 3
HOU
17%
20%
63%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HOU
3 - 2
TAM
44%
21%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
HOU
4 - 2
ALB
16%
17%
67%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 3
HOU
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |