Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Albion Rovers vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
STR
4 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
ALB
4 - 1
BRE
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1973 |
ALB
3 - 1
CLY
50%
23%
28%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1973 |
FOR
1 - 1
ALB
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
ALB
2 - 1
FOR
71%
16%
13%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
KIL
4 - 0
THE
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
QPA
1 - 1
KIL
23%
20%
57%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
HAM
0 - 4
KIL
31%
23%
45%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
KIL
2 - 0
QPA
84%
10%
6%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1973 |
KIL
0 - 0
HAM
81%
11%
7%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |