Albion Rovers vs Dumbarton analysis

Albion Rovers Dumbarton
44 ELO 54
-3.1% Tilt 0.6%
4621º General ELO ranking 3899º
54º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
18.9%
Albion Rovers
21.7%
Draw
59.3%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59.3%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Albion Rovers
+18%
+9%
Dumbarton

Points and table prediction

Albion Rovers
Their league position
Dumbarton
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
10º
61
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stirling Albion
73
76
100%
Dumbarton
61
62
100%
Annan Athletic
51
52
66%
East Fife
50
51
66%
Forfar Athletic
45
46
48%
Stenhousemuir
44
45
38%
Stranraer
44
45
60.5%
Bonnyrigg Rose
39
42
58.5%
Elgin City
40
40
58.5%
Albion Rovers
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Albion Rovers
Dumbarton
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Albion Rovers
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2022
BLA
Annan Athletic
5 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
65%
19%
16%
46 50 4 0
03 Dec. 2022
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
44%
24%
31%
47 45 2 -1
26 Nov. 2022
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 1
Stirling University
STI
44%
24%
32%
48 46 2 -1
19 Nov. 2022
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 0
Stranraer
STR
41%
24%
35%
47 48 1 +1
12 Nov. 2022
EAS
East Fife
2 - 3
Albion Rovers
ALB
52%
24%
25%
46 48 2 +1

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Dec. 2022
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 0
East Fife
EAS
65%
21%
14%
54 45 9 0
03 Dec. 2022
BRA
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
37%
24%
39%
54 50 4 0
26 Nov. 2022
CLY
Clyde
1 - 3
Dumbarton
DUM
24%
22%
54%
53 45 8 +1
19 Nov. 2022
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
66%
21%
13%
53 46 7 0
12 Nov. 2022
ELG
Elgin City
0 - 4
Dumbarton
DUM
44%
24%
32%
52 52 0 +1