Albese Calcio vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 2
ALB
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 1
CAS
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 0
LAV
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
DER
2 - 0
ALB
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CUN
0 - 1
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SPE
0 - 0
SAV
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SPE
2 - 1
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
USR
3 - 1
SPE
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 1
LAV
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
DER
0 - 2
SPE
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |