Alberite vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 1
ALB
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
CDC
12%
19%
70%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CAS
4 - 0
ALB
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 1
CAV
25%
23%
52%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 1
ALB
82%
13%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALD
48%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TAT
1 - 2
VIL
56%
22%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
RAP
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
CDL
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 2
VIL
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |