Alberite vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ANG
5 - 0
ALB
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
AUT
36%
25%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NAX
3 - 3
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 2
YAG
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
OYO
1 - 2
ALB
67%
19%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDF
6 - 0
ALD
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
TAT
2 - 2
CDF
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CDF
1 - 1
RAP
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 1
CDF
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CDF
3 - 2
HAR
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |