Alberic vs Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 2
ALB
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ALB
2 - 0
TAV
62%
22%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CUL
0 - 2
ALB
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
ONT
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 1
ALB
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAS
2 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ENG
0 - 4
CAS
60%
21%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 1
LLO
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TAV
4 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 0
PEG
38%
24%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |