Alberic vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
ALD
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 0
ALB
33%
26%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 0
ONT
69%
20%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CUL
2 - 3
ALB
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LLO
0 - 2
ALB
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PEG
2 - 1
CAN
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ONT
1 - 3
PEG
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 1
CUL
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
REC
1 - 1
PEG
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PEG
2 - 4
REC
58%
22%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |