Alberic vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 0
ALB
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 1
CDT
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALB
24%
25%
52%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 2
MUR
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
REC
0 - 3
ALB
19%
23%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
PEG
3 - 0
ENG
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TAV
2 - 1
PEG
47%
24%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PEG
3 - 1
CUL
39%
25%
37%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ONT
5 - 0
PEG
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 5
ALG
36%
26%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |