Alberic vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LLO
1 - 0
ALB
17%
22%
60%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 4
ALB
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 2
BEN
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALB
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 3
CDT
64%
22%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PEG
2 - 2
BEN
36%
26%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MUR
3 - 0
PEG
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PEG
2 - 2
CDT
32%
27%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 2
PEG
49%
23%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PEG
1 - 2
BEN
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |