Alberic vs Manises analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BEN
1 - 4
ALB
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ALB
0 - 1
QUA
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 0
EMF
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BEN
2 - 3
ALB
42%
25%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 1
UDC
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Manises
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 0
BEN
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
UDC
2 - 0
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 2
CDT
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PAT
0 - 0
MAN
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
OLI
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |