Alberic vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
ALB
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
PRO
61%
22%
17%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UEM
0 - 0
ALB
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALB
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
RAC
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CTS
2 - 0
MUR
24%
22%
55%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
CTS
65%
20%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CTS
2 - 2
CAN
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PEG
1 - 0
CTS
42%
25%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CTS
0 - 1
FON
43%
23%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |