Alberic vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 2
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
CUL
0 - 0
ALB
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
FON
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SIA
0 - 3
ALB
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
RAC
34%
25%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CTS
3 - 5
PEG
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
4 - 0
CTS
36%
24%
41%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CTS
2 - 3
UEM
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
CTS
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CTS
1 - 1
UDC
45%
23%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |