Albelda vs Graus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
69.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albelda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 2
SAN
43%
22%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 2
ALB
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALB
4 - 3
LAL
57%
19%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SEN
1 - 1
ALB
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ALB
4 - 1
ISA
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Graus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 1
ALB
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LAL
1 - 2
GRA
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 1
SEN
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ISA
0 - 4
GRA
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 1
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |