Albany Creek vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 1
PEN
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
LOG
2 - 3
ALB
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
EAS
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
ALB
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 3
ROC
48%
20%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
EAS
6 - 1
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 6
QUE
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 0
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 4
IPS
22%
21%
58%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |