Albany Creek vs Grange Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
34%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 2
ALB
22%
20%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALB
4 - 2
NPI
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 1
ALB
48%
21%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MGH
0 - 2
ALB
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 0
BAY
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Grange Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
NPI
0 - 3
GRA
25%
20%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 0
MGH
86%
10%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 1
ALB
48%
21%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 0
GRA
41%
22%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
TAR
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |