Albalonga vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albalonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
ARZ
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAS
0 - 0
ALB
14%
17%
69%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ALB
4 - 0
LAN
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 0
ALB
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
OST
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FLA
4 - 0
SSD
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
AVE
26%
23%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
SSD
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAS
0 - 0
SSD
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |