Albages A vs Alfarras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albages A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
8 - 0
ALB
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 3
AFL
30%
23%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAS
2 - 1
ALB
48%
22%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
COR
26%
22%
51%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 2
ALB
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Alfarras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
ALF
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
12 - 1
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 2
ALF
51%
22%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
7 - 0
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
4 - 2
BJC
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |