Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Albacete vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
COX
1 - 0
ALB
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 0
ROD
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 2
UBC
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
ALB
15%
25%
60%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
VEC
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
LLE
1 - 2
ORI
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 1
UES
49%
28%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GAN
0 - 0
ORI
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
0 - 0
SMR
48%
27%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MNC
1 - 2
ORI
16%
25%
59%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |