Albacete vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CDT
2 - 2
ALB
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
0 - 2
ALB
17%
23%
61%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
ALB
1 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
8%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
RAY
0 - 0
ALB
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
ALB
1 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
NUM
1 - 0
LOG
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
NUM
2 - 2
RAC
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
CDT
1 - 1
NUM
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
NUM
0 - 0
CDB
37%
30%
34%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
VIL
0 - 1
NUM
57%
26%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |