Albacete vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
CRE
2 - 7
ALB
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ALB
3 - 1
ELD
71%
16%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
IND
2 - 3
ALB
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ALB
8 - 1
ALM
89%
7%
3%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ORI
1 - 2
ALB
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALI
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
6 - 1
CRE
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ELD
5 - 1
NOV
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 1
IND
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ALM
2 - 1
NOV
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |