Albacete vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
THA
5 - 1
ALB
65%
17%
18%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
ALB
3 - 2
CFC
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
IMP
2 - 2
ALB
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
ALB
5 - 2
ORI
76%
13%
11%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
CIE
3 - 1
ALB
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
NOV
5 - 3
CAL
69%
17%
15%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
NOV
2 - 0
THA
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
CFC
2 - 1
NOV
88%
8%
5%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
NOV
0 - 1
IMP
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
ORI
5 - 1
NOV
71%
16%
14%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |