Albacete vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 2
ALB
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 0
CDT
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 3
ALB
30%
27%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 0
SSR
75%
18%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
UBC
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 1
LUG
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
VEC
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 3
LUG
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |