Albacete vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
4 - 0
LOJ
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 2
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
RMC
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 0
ALB
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
2 - 1
ROD
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
CPC
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 1
EJE
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
EJE
1 - 2
ARR
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 2
VIL
85%
11%
5%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |