Alay vs Al-Riffa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
79.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Riffa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
RIF
6 - 1
SIT
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
RIF
0 - 2
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 0
RIF
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 0
RIF
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
ITT
0 - 4
RIF
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -2 |