Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Deportivo Alavés vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALA
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IZA
1 - 3
ALA
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
TUD
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ATH
1 - 2
ALA
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALA
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
SAN
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
RJA
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 2
MEL
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |