Alashkert II vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
12º
11º
36
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alashkert II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GAN
9 - 0
ALA
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
BKM
12%
18%
71%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 1
LAR
36%
21%
44%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +4 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
ARA
10%
18%
72%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
SHI
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 1
MIK
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
PYU
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 1
MIK
16%
21%
62%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
3 - 1
MIK
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |