Alaquas I Walter B vs Macastre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaquas I Walter B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
ALA
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
GOD
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CIU
2 - 1
ALA
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALA
4 - 3
QUA
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
REQ
0 - 4
ALA
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 0
MAC
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHI
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GOD
3 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 4
CIU
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
QUA
3 - 1
MAC
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |