Åland vs Wilpas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Åland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
AIF
2 - 2
ALA
37%
22%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 1
INT
21%
18%
62%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PEI
2 - 1
ALA
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
8 - 4
VGN
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MUS
3 - 0
ALA
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wilpas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
TPK
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
AIF
6 - 2
WIL
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 2
TPS
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
INT
3 - 1
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
PAI
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |