Alamal Atbara vs Wad Nobawi analysis


39	ELO	39
-23.8%	Tilt	-20.9%
7214º	General ELO ranking	6896º
10º	Country ELO ranking	4º
ELO win probability

41.5%

Alamal Atbara

24.6%

Draw

34%

Wad Nobawi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

41.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%

24.6%

Draw

0-0

5.4%

1-1

11.5%

2-2

6.1%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.6%

34%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-11%

-3%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

10º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

35

4º

17º

7º

32

6º

18º

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

11º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	50	66	1º	81.5%
3º	48	62	2º	81.5%
1º	51	51	3º	100%
4º	42	42	4º	65%
6º	37	41	5º	41%
5º	38	39	6º	52.5%
10º	35	38	7º	32%
7º	36	37	8º	38%
9º	35	35	9º	15.5%
8º	35	35	10º	28.5%
13º	29	33	11º	27.5%
11º	32	33	12º	43%
12º	32	32	13º	68.5%
14º	28	29	14º	80%
15º	27	27	15º	81.5%
16º	25	25	16º	52.5%
17º	24	25	17º	51%
18º	22	23	18º	70.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

CAF Champions League	0%	0%
CAF Confederation Cup	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alamal Atbara

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Mar. 2023	KHA 1 - 0 ALA 37% 25% 38%	40	33	7	0
01 Mar. 2023	ALH 5 - 0 ALA 62% 22% 16%	41	42	1	-1
18 Feb. 2023	ALA 3 - 0 KSC 45% 24% 31%	40	38	2	+1
05 Jan. 2023	ALM 3 - 0 ALA 61% 22% 17%	41	42	1	-1
30 Dec. 2022	ALA 1 - 0 ALA 43% 28% 29%	41	41	0	0

Matches

Wad Nobawi

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Mar. 2023	ASH 1 - 0 WNK 40% 24% 37%	40	37	3	0
01 Mar. 2023	WNK 1 - 1 KHA 70% 18% 12%	40	32	8	0
24 Feb. 2023	WNK 0 - 1 POR 49% 26% 26%	41	41	0	-1
06 Jan. 2023	WNK 1 - 0 ASH 54% 22% 25%	40	38	2	+1
02 Jan. 2023	POR 1 - 1 WNK 52% 25% 24%	40	41	1	0