Torneo de Invierno Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
LD Alajuelense vs Santos de Guápiles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
LDA
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LDA
3 - 0
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
LDA
1 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
LDA
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LDA
0 - 0
SAP
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santos de Guápiles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
LDA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 5
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSC
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 4
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |