LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
LDA
3 - 3
UNI
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
LDA
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LDA
2 - 1
CSH
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
CSH
2 - 1
LDA
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
LDA
1 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CSH
1 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
LDA
1 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
LDA
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |