Torneo de Invierno Semi-finals
Global 2-2
LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
LDA
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 2
LDA
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
LDA
5 - 1
UNI
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
CSH
1 - 0
LDA
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LDA
2 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
LDA
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSH
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LDA
2 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |