Atlético Alagoinhas vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 0
ALA
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 2
FEI
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
ALA
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
ITA
55%
23%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 1
CFC
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
3 - 2
VIT
14%
19%
67%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 0
BAH
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
VIT
12%
20%
68%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |