Atlético Alagoinhas vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 3
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 1
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
BAH
18%
23%
58%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 4
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 3
CFC
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
TRE
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
COR
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RIP
2 - 0
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |