Atlético Alagoinhas vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 2
BAH
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
ALA
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
5 - 0
JUA
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
ALA
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
ALA
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 1
ITA
50%
24%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 0
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
SER
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
JUA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |