Atlético Alagoinhas vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 0
ALA
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
CFC
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 0
BAH
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
BAH
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
VIT
33%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SDJ
2 - 2
SER
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 1
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
VIT
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | +1 |