Atlético Alagoinhas vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 3
SDJ
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 2
ALA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SER
1 - 0
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 1
BAH
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
RFC
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 1
RFC
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
2 - 2
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
RFC
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |