Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALA
26%
22%
52%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 0
JEQ
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
PBA
1 - 1
ALA
12%
16%
72%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
0 - 1
ALA
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 2
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
JAC
1 - 0
COL
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
JAC
2 - 0
SDJ
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 1
JAC
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
0 - 1
JAC
15%
22%
64%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
JAC
0 - 0
BAH
5%
18%
77%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |