Baiano 1 Final Stages Final
Global 3-1
Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
ALA
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
5 - 1
ALA
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 3
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
JAC
13%
18%
70%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 3
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
4 - 1
JAC
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 3
JAC
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |