Atlético Alagoinhas vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
FLU
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
JUA
0 - 4
ALA
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 3
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 1
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
5%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 4
BAH
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
SDJ
2 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |