Atlético Alagoinhas vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIT
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
ALA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
FEI
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
FEI
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IPI
3 - 2
ITA
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 1
MDE
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |