Atlético Alagoinhas vs Grapiuna Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 0
YPI
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ADL
1 - 4
ALA
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 1
ALA
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 0
FLU
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 1
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 2
JUA
14%
19%
66%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
GAC
1 - 0
GRA
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 1
SER
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ADA
1 - 0
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
3 - 1
CCD
58%
21%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |