Atlético Alagoinhas vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
ALA
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
5 - 0
JUA
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
ALA
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
ALA
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
REM
2 - 1
BAH
20%
24%
57%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
BAH
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BAH
12%
18%
70%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
SER
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
0 - 1
BAH
17%
23%
60%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |