Atlético Alagoinhas vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 4
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
BAH
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
IPI
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 1
PAY
60%
21%
20%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
21%
23%
57%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PAY
0 - 0
BAH
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 0
BAH
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |