Atlético Alagoinhas vs Catuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 2
ALA
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 0
JUA
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JUA
3 - 1
ALA
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 1
YPI
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
ALA
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AEC
5 - 1
CAT
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TDF
1 - 0
CAT
16%
21%
64%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 2
TDF
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 2
AEC
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
ALA
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |