Atlético Alagoinhas vs Catuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 1
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 2
JUA
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
JUA
4 - 1
ALA
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 3
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 1
ALA
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CAT
0 - 2
BAH
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 1
IPI
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
IPI
1 - 4
CAT
43%
24%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
BAH
5 - 1
CAT
52%
22%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 1
ALA
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |