Álafoss vs UMF Njardvík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
77.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Álafoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BOR
3 - 1
AFC
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
AFC
3 - 1
SRI
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +4 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
AFC
10 - 1
SNA
20%
17%
63%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 6
KOH
5%
10%
85%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
UMF Njardvík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
NJA
3 - 0
KHR
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
KAR
2 - 3
NJA
36%
23%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
NJA
1 - 1
DAL
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
VIG
1 - 2
NJA
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
NJA
2 - 3
REY
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |